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Aspirations and realities of polycentric development: Insights from multi-source data into the emerging urban form of Shanghai

Mr Tianren Yang

(University of Cambridge, Martin Centre of Architectural and Urban Studies, Department of Architecture)

 

Co-authored by:

Ying Jin (University of Cambridge)

Longxu Yan (MIT)

Pei Pei (Tongji University)

 

Research Description

The paucity of reliable and disaggregated data in developing countries has made it almost impossible to assess polycentric policy effects comprehensively. This research capitalises on official statistical data, novel online data and proprietary digital data, and builds a dynamic spatial equilibrium model for understanding past lessons and future options for developing new urban sub-centres. Following the post-2010 situation of a negative sign of monocentric bid–rent curve and physical polycentric growth in Shanghai, the authors assemble, corroborate and validate multi-source data sets within the model to explore possible polycentric development scenarios (2010–2035). The derived planning implications are cogent for current decision-making regarding polycentric planning and growth.

 

Full Entry Title

Yang, T., Jin, Y., Yan, L. and Pei, P., 2019. 'Aspirations and realities of polycentric development: Insights from multi-source data into the emerging urban form of Shanghai'. Environment and Planning B: Urban Analytics and City Science, 46(7), pp.1264-1280.